UK might become the most badly hit European country by a coronavirus, as experts predict at least 66000 deaths by the end of July. It is threefold folds than deaths reported in Italy. The researchers from the University of Washington have predicted 151,680 deaths in entire Europe.
With this high number of deaths predicted, the UK would be suffering the consequences for long. This study model was designed by the researchers from the University of Washington which predicted coronavirus deaths for many countries. It showed that the UK, Italy Spain, and France would be badly hit by the coronavirus pandemic.
Even before this coronavirus model was out, many European countries have imposed strict rules over public gatherings encouraging people to stay at home and maintain social distancing. However, UK was a little behind all other countries to implement these rules.
Currently, more than 5000 people have lost their lives to coronavirus in the UK but it is lesser than deaths in Italy and France. However, it is predicted to exceed all countries if the virus keeps on spreading.
This prediction model used data and mortality reports from all leading countries and designed an overall and country by country model. All these deaths are a part of the first wave of coronavirus which suggests there might be a second wave as well.
The report suggested that thousands of deaths reported in various countries are probably the highest number and the virus has already crossed its peak time. So there might be no more new cases in these countries.
But the UK is much more behind all countries and the death toll, as well as ICU capacity, is hugely overwhelmed.
The medical experts forecast the need for at least 100,000 hospital beds whereas only 17,765 beds are currently available in the UK.
The British Prime Minister Boris Johnson is also infected with the deadly coronavirus and currently shifted to ICU. Despite the whole UK is under lockdown and the citizens are following social distancing, the daily cases are increasing.
The medical experts are extremely concerned about coronavirus as there is only a little information available on it. It emerged only a few months ago and within days, it has spread to the whole world. As there is no information available in it, it is getting hard to control it.
Initially, it was believed to be SARS or Influenza virus. In 2003, the SARS virus infected nearly 8000 people and killed 800 people. But the new coronavirus has broken the records of all similar respiratory viruses from the past.
People have no immunity from this new virus because it never existed before hence it is new for everyone. Considering coronavirus is extremely contagious, this zero immunity makes it spread more rapidly. Also, this virus is causing more damage than other respiratory viruses due to the same reason.
This January, a professor from Oxford University, Dr. Peter Horby said that all novel viruses spread faster than other viruses because of no immunity against them. Its spread is even worst than seasonal infections. And here we are talking about the coronavirus which has no sufficient evidence to predict its spectrum or design a control strategy.
There is no treatment or cure for coronavirus right now. Flu medicines and antibiotics simply don’t work against it. The process of designing a new medicine, clinically testing it and making it commercially available takes so many years. So any medicine to combat coronavirus is out of the question for now.
There is no vaccine for coronavirus and it is much likely to take a couple of years for it to be available. Many private companies and state-run institutions are working on its vaccine mainly relying on the information obtained during the SARS outbreak 2003. But coronavirus, the vaccine is months away. Till then, precautions and social distancing is the only hope to protect people from catching it.