What’s the Future of COVID-19 in the US?

Within the last 17 days, the coronavirus cases have increased to four million to five million, leaving everyone questions the future of COVID-19 in the US. Despite that country is reporting a downfall in its coronavirus curve, the increase in these cases is worrisome.

So, what’s the future of this pandemic here? What should people expect to happen?

First, there is good news that the daily cases of coronavirus have to decrease in the last two weeks but still, this number is significant enough to raise concerns. On average the daily cases of coronavirus in the US are 50,000 which is indeed a big number. However, this is a drop-off figure which was previously 70,000 daily cases between June 23 and June 24.

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The drop-in coronavirus cases are significantly low as the cases reported in April when the spring started. At this point, people were somehow convinced that the warmer temperature will kill the virus and it is okay to roam around.

Health experts justify this increase caused by the policy changes in the most populous US states i.e. California, Texas, Florida, and Arizona. Using face mask, following social distancing, and closing the local businesses have helped to control the cases somehow. But some researchers believe people have acquired immunity against the virus.

The latest official results confirm that there is a high possibility of 20% of the Florida population being infected. But this widespread infection is also thought to cause some type of immunity from the coronavirus.

 Trevor Bedford from the Fred Hutch shared on Twitter that the high number of cases in Florida, Texas, and Arizona could be the reason to save other people safe from the virus, through acquired immunity. But this immunity is not highly compatible returning the previous ‘normal’ back to the society.

The future of COVID-19 in the US is not very bright as the daily cases are still likely to increase. It is necessary to bring this pandemic curve downwards to the base to make the situation under control.

Without the curve to be flattened, the hospitals, doctors, other staff, everyone will be on high alert and people will be likely to hospitalize or die due to the coronavirus.

Nearly 163,000 have lost their lives to the deadly coronavirus so far which makes 22% of the world’s total population. However, it is only 4% of the total US population. The study models predict that these deaths will reach 200,000 within two months.

Thomas Tsai, from Harvard shares, that the high increase in coronavirus cases show a failure of leadership and policy work. Many states are opening the schools urging students to follow the safety precautions necessary to avoid the coronavirus spread.

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The American Academy of Pediatrics along with the Children’s Hospital Association reports that more than 100,000 infected children were reported in the last two weeks of July.

Although children are not high-risk people for coronavirus related complications it doesn’t mean that they cant get infected. Many children have lost their lives to the virus suggesting that probably opening the schools without reducing the daily cases is not a very good idea.

The reason for the high increase in coronavirus cases is now clear but what’s coming next? whats the future of COVID-19 in the US? It is necessary to find out whether the states are going to impose some proactive steps or just wait for another surge in cases.



Areeba Hussain

The author is a fulltime medical and healthcare writer. She graduated in Medical Microbiology and Immunology with distinction. Her areas of prime interest are medicine, medical technology, disease awareness, and research analysis. Twitter @Areeba94789300

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